AZG-XAU-001
Trend-Following Gold
ADX breakout strategy targeting strong trend continuation on Gold. Enter on H1 confirmation at Fibonacci confluence during established trend conditions.
Market Conditions
Primary Condition: ADX > 25 on H4 (trend confirmed)
Secondary: H4 +DI / -DI aligned with trend direction
Trend Direction: Determined by price structure on 1D (higher highs/lows = uptrend, lower highs/lows = downtrend)
Entry Criteria
Layer 1: 1D Context
Identify S/R zones and psychological levels. Confirm trend direction from daily structure.
Layer 2: H4 Trend Engine
ADX > 25 confirms trend strength. +DI above -DI = bullish; reverse for bearish.
Layer 3: Fibonacci Zone
Draw retracement from last swing. Target 61.8% as primary entry zone; 50% as secondary.
Layer 4: H1 Trigger
Wait for candle confirmation at Fibonacci level: rejection wick, engulfing pattern, or pin bar.
Invalidation Rules
• Stop loss: Below/above the invalidation candle wick (H1 confirmation candle)
• ADX drops below 20 during position = trend weakening, consider early exit
• 1D structure breaks (higher low lost in uptrend, lower high lost in downtrend)
Session Filter
Preferred: London-NY overlap (13:00-16:00 UTC) for highest probability
Acceptable: London open (08:00 UTC) if Asian session set clear range
Avoid: Late NY (after 20:00 UTC) and major red-folder news events
Position Sizing
CANDIDATE phase: 0.5% risk per trade (paper trading / demo)
ACTIVE phase: 1% risk per trade (live with small capital)
If WR drops below 50% for 20+ trades, archive with Death Note.
Tracking
Trades logged: 0
Wins: 0 | Losses: 0
Win Rate (WR): —%
Risk:Reward (RR): —
Status: Awaiting first backtest results